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 Julian 
        Keeling CEO
 Consolidators International
 
 Sure, the frost is not yet on the pumpkins, 
        but with the Christmas rush being the next big thing in air cargo, it 
        is about time to look ahead and wonder what the holiday season and the 
        future months will bring.
 With U.S. unemployment hovering around the 
        10 percent mark, housing sharply lower than that, an anemic stock market 
        and manufacturers just marking time, air cargo will show little growth 
        for the remainder of the year.
 Retailers are taking their cue from shoppers' 
        reluctance to open their pocketbooks and have become very miserly in building 
        up their inventory.
 Airfreight has enjoyed a sharp increase 
        in volume during the past number of months, but much of that growth, in 
        hindsight, can be credited to restocking of inventory and not to sales 
        to the ultimate consumer.
 The supply chain seems to have snapped at the retailer's warehouse.
 We note that airlines are becoming cautious 
        about the next few months, as their rates are remaining flat.
 Carriers seem content to keep their fuel 
        charges in effect rather than raise rates.
 Cargo volume also will be handicapped by 
        the slowdown in U.S. exports.
 Chinese expansion is moderate as are other 
        Asian nations' economies. Surprisingly, Europe, which had been given up 
        for dead as a trading partner, is showing unexpected liveliness. Germany, 
        in particular, has become one of the most powerful export nations in the 
        world, with an actual shortage of workers.
 Airfreight is participating in this Teutonic 
        growth, particularly to the Middle East and Asia.
 One development, however, should benefit 
        airfreight, particularly for last minute ordering of goods. It is the 
        decision by many of the ocean lines to continue "slow steaming," 
        aka, taking longer times between ports.
 Maersk Lines recently announced it would continue slow steaming indefinitely. 
        Since most other shipping lines follow Maersk's lead in lockstep, air 
        freight will be needed in many instances to move merchandise in time for 
        Christmas.
 Looking ahead, there is not a particularly 
        bright future for the independent forwarder in international trade.
 The integrators, particularly FedEx and UPS, continue to gain market share 
        as shippers reduce the number of their suppliers.
 The two integrators have built up their 
        infrastructures in Asia at enormous cost, but this expenditure seems to 
        be paying off.
 They are providing excellent service and 
        shippers seem willing to pay their higher rates in return for this service.
 Expect a dwindling number of independent 
        forwarders to participate in global trade in the months and years ahead.
 There are now only seven independent, multi-national 
        forwarders of any significance.
 They include DHL, Schenker, Panalpina, Kuehne 
        & Nagel, Expeditors, UTI and Ceva.
 Smaller forwarders will have to be content 
        to get crumbs from their tables.
 FedEx and UPS, as their market share continues 
        to grow, have become increasingly stingy in selling space on their aircraft 
        to outside forwarders. Some twenty years ago, FedEx sold $700 million 
        worth of space to independent forwarders.
 Today, that figure has shrunk to $50 million.
 Despite a gloomy economic outlook, Consolidators 
        International continues to expand.
 We expect a 40 percent jump in CII volume 
        for all of 2010, with a corresponding increase in profitability.      We 
        are sticking to our knitting as we have for the past sixteen years, concentrating 
        on the South
 Pacific, particularly Australia and New Zealand, both being strong markets 
        for both air and ocean trade.
 Julian
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