| Air Cargo & The Volcano
  Ram 
          Menen, Senior Division Vice President at Emirates SkyCargo (right) talks 
          about the volcano that shut down much of the world airline schedules 
          this way: “It is quite a challenging situation.
 “A bit like what happened post 9/11 in the U.S. where all the 
          air space shut down . . . air traffic into and out of the northern part 
          of Europe is paralyzed and that affects everyone.
 “We are monitoring the situation very closely and keeping our 
          customers advised of the situation via regular communiqué and our website.
 “Let us hope this will not last long and life can get back to 
          normal.”
 
  But 
          Dave Brooks, President of American Airlines Cargo (left), never at a 
          loss for words spoke of the exasperation that people around the world 
          in air cargo feel about the roller coaster 2000s saying simply: "What's next, locusts?
 “All we can do is communicate, communicate, communicate.
 “Most customers know we can't control volcanoes; they just want 
          to be kept in the loop."
 As the 40th annual celebration of Earth Day approaches on April 
          22, 2010, we have been given more than a gentle reminder from Mother 
          Nature that we are still just guests on her planet. While most of us 
          are going about the quotidian routine of our lives  driving to work, 
          cursing the traffic, making dinner and laughing at our television sets, 
          only miles above our carefree heads the air has grown toxic and thick 
          with ash.
 A volcano near Iceland’s Eyiafjallajokull glacier has been spewing 
          ash clouds into the air since Wednesday, bringing air traffic in parts 
          of northern and western Europe to a standstill. Some volcanists are 
          now saying that disruptions to air traffic could last for several months 
          due to the very fine composition of ash particles, which are miniscule 
          enough to invade all parts of an airplane and so lightweight they tend 
          to remain in the air for up to two to three years before dispersing.
 Not since the tragedy of 9/11 has the commercial airline business 
          taken such an unexpected and widespread hit.
 The groundings and diversions come at a time when airlines are 
          beginning to report positive results with business slowly returning."I 
          would expect this shutdown to last a couple of days," said Prof Bill 
          McGuire of the Aion Benfield UCL Hazard Research Center.
 "But if the eruption continues—and continues to produce ash—we 
          could see repeated disruption over six months or so."
 Other experts think that future threats from the volcano to Europe 
          aviation will be occasional.
 "What has happened overnight is that the volcano has . . . exploded 
          quite a lot more violently and put ash very high up," said Matthew Watson, 
          lecturer on geophysical natural hazards at Bristol University told CNBC.
 "If it does go back to what it's doing before—and I don't have 
          a crystal ball but I would think that is quite likely—then essentially 
          what you are doing is waiting for the airspace to clear."
 The southeast drifting cloud, floating roughly between 6,000 and 
          8,000 meters above surface forced national civil aviation authorities 
          to close many parts of the European airspace, mainly above Scandinavia, 
          the UK, the Benelux countries, France, Germany, the Baltic States, and 
          Poland.
 A large number of airports were shut down Thursday, among them 
          all British airports, Paris, Amsterdam, Hamburg, Berlin, Copenhagen 
          and Brussels. Eurocontrol reported the skipping of about 4,000 flights 
          on Thursday.
 Today some 28,000 flights are said to have been cut to about 11,000 
          with long-haul flights diverted, returned to their departure cities, 
          or totally cancelled leaving hundreds of thousand passengers stranded 
          and huge cargo tonnage on the ground.
 Speaking of air cargo right now Europe is scrambling to get as 
          much long haul freight as possible on the road for delivery to offset 
          loss of airlift.
 Most important thing when something like this happens is for everyone 
          to stay in touch with each other so everyone knows what to expect
 
  Lufthansa 
          Cargo spokesman Nils Haupt (left) said:   “We are in meetings every 
          four hours with our crises team to update the situation and expect to 
          be back in operation by 2000 hrs. Saturday April 17. “Of course this is our estimate based on best information available.
 “Most important thing when something like this happens is for 
          everyone to stay in touch with each other so everyone knows what to 
          expect.
 “Right now we have just one MD11 freighter on the ground here 
          in Frankfurt with the rest of the fleet standing by at airports all 
          over the world.
 “For someone who has kero in the veins, no aircraft movement at 
          Frankfurt Main today is quite strange and unnatural.”
 
  Neel 
          Shah, (right) VP Cargo, Delta Airlines told Air Cargo News FlyingTypers: “Since DL is the number one carrier across the Atlantic, this 
          situation has had a tremendous impact.
 “We have already cancelled 65 flights between yesterday and this 
          morning and that number is climbing every hour as more European Airspace 
          is closed as a result of the ash cloud.
 “Our flights are booked close to capacity for both passengers 
          and cargo so it is going to be challenging recovering from the past 
          couple of days.
 “It is our hope that we can get back to a normal operation by 
          Sunday but it’s way too early to tell if that will be possible.”
 “Volcanic ash is indeed, Kryptonite for air cargo.” Said Tony 
          Randgaard, spokesperson for Continental Airlines Cargo.
 “Like everyone else, we are watching the satellite maps and wondering 
          what Mother Nature has in store for today.
 “On Thursday, Continental was forced to cancel 30 flights and 
          unable to operate into Scandinavia or the UK.
 “We suggest that customers keep in touch with our Cargo Customer 
          Service Center for the latest news.”
 Typically air cargo people are meeting strategizing and working 
          around the clock to keep the goods moving.
 “Capacity restraints are words of the day,” said one big carrier 
          of mail who interlines outbound from USA.
 “But we are dealing with restraints by moving cargo over the road 
          to airports other than major gateways here (LAX/JFK) while watching 
          every minute to be first to take advantage of the moment when LHR and 
          other EU gateways return.”
 But no amount of diverting or other attempts can get into closed 
          airspaces.
 Platinum Cargo, a big U.S.- based GSA is typical of scores of 
          notices flooding emails right now to customers, advising business as 
          usual will be unusual until the airports get back online.
 Eurocontrol, the 38-states agency coordinating European air traffic, 
          spoke of an “unprecedented situation” having so much airspace and airports 
          closed. With ongoing volcanic activity and southeastern air drift, European 
          air traffic could be disrupted for longer. Meteorologists hesitate giving 
          any predictions because of the uncertain geothermic activity and atmospheric 
          situation.
 The Mid-Atlantic Ridge divides the isle of Iceland where the European 
          and North American plates drift apart causing frequent volcanic eruptions. 
          “Ashes spouted from volcanoes represent a significant threat to air 
          traffic,” warned Eurocontrol in a Thursday-issued statement.
 The drifting particles of silicate can penetrate and severely 
          damage turbines bringing them to a halt.
 This occurred in 1989 when a KLM Boeing 747 en route from Amsterdam 
          to Alaska flew across an ash cloud spewed in the atmosphere by Mount 
          Redoubt of the Aleutian Range.
 All four engines lost power, which were restored shortly, averting 
          the aircraft from crashing.
 A similar incident happened in 1982 to a British Airways B747 
          flying from Great Britain to New Zealand hitting volcanic ashes coming 
          from Indonesian volcano Mount Gulanggung.
 All four engines failed but were restarted by the cockpit crew 
          after they managed to glide the aircraft far enough to escape the ash 
          cloud.
 Volcanoes may seem exotic, but there are plenty of them right 
          here in USA. According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), there are 
          67 active or potentially active volcanoes in the United States: seven 
          in Hawaii, 16 in mainland Alaska, 24 in the Aleutian Islands, five each 
          in Washington and Oregon, one each in Arizona and New Mexico, and two 
          in Idaho, including Yellowstone National Park, which includes parts 
          of Montana and Wyoming.
 Interestingly, ScienceCentral.com reports,” more than twenty years 
          after Mount St. Helens in Washington state USA erupted, scientists still 
          can't predict eruptions precisely.
 “But they are better equipped to help determine when it’s time 
          to evacuate an area, in a way that's safer for the scientists, too, 
          says C. Dan Miller, chief of the Volcano Disaster Assistance Program 
          at the USGS Cascades Volcano Observatory.
 “Our strategy now is to take out a bunch of monitor equipment, 
          install these stations all over the volcano, and then go back to a safe 
          place and watch the data come in, in real time," says Miller.
 "When one looks at these kinds of natural phenomena, volcanic 
          eruption, you always think of the impact on human lives," Bernard Chouet, 
          a seismologist at the USGS, told the U.S. Public Broadcasting television 
          science program NOVA.
 "The ultimate quest is to understand enough about the activity 
          in that volcano to be in a position to make a prediction, predict the 
          occurrence of an eruption."
 Heiner/Geoffrey/Flossie Arend
 |