| 
  FlyingTypers 
        recently caught up with Steven J. K. Lee, Chairman of Singapore Aircargo 
        Agents Association and also a senior executive at DHL Global Forwarding. 
        He believes Changi airport will remain a key hub for years to come, despite 
        the slow growth of the last decade. 
 FlyingTypers: 
         After a poor 2012, we’re again seeing an avalanche of bad 
        news for air cargo this year. How are agents and forwarders in Singapore 
        coping?
 Steven Lee:  The market has 
        been in a downturn for a year and this has created a very competitive 
        environment. Everyone is trying to get whatever business they can, so 
        this is putting downward pressure on prices.
 
  : 
          What sort of financial pressure is this putting 
        on your members? 
  :   Well, there haven’t 
        been any defaulters at this moment, whether we’re talking about 
        agents, forwarders, or airlines. The challenge will be the last six months 
        of this year. Everyone can sustain a downturn for one and a half years 
        but there is still no indication of any upsurge. How we finish the final 
        part of this year is very important. My view is if the market continues 
        softer, then it will be a big challenge in 2014. 
  : 
          Are you hopeful we’ll see a traditional peak 
        season later in the year? 
  :   I expect a slow upsurge 
        over September-November as things can’t continue like this. The 
        U.S. looks better than Europe. I think shipper product launches from companies 
        like Microsoft and Samsung coming out later this year for Christmas will 
        help, both to Europe and the US and also intra-Asia. 
  : 
          We saw most major air cargo gateways lose volumes 
        last year but Changi remained static, as it has for most of the last decade 
        when others were growing. Are there any markets where you have seen cause 
        for optimism? 
  :   Japan’s economy 
        is being transformed; currency depreciation is helping exports and that 
        knocks on through Singapore, because some Japanese production is here. 
        China has slowed down on exports but I think there will be a pick-up in 
        momentum from November. There will be some delayed production, which means 
        there will be a catch up for Christmas that could last through to Chinese 
        New Year, so we’re hoping there will be a pick-up through to February. 
        Indonesia is also going well and is one of the fastest growing areas for 
        our members. This is mostly consumer product imports, energy, and oil 
        and gas products. A lot comes through Changi for onward transshipment. 
  : 
          Are Changi airport and operators based in Singapore 
        suffering from competition from the Middle East? 
  :   Of course there is an 
        impact. They have an advantage, they produce their own fuel, so some of 
        our market share has been lost. 
  : 
          How has Singapore’s air cargo community been 
        affected by cuts in capacity by SIA? 
  :   I think freighter capacity 
        has been reduced but this has been compensated for in other areas by more 
        use of wide-body passenger planes. I don’t think they will be increasing 
        freighter capacity in the future. I think one of the reasons is they know 
        the express business will grow due to ecommerce and the use of the internet 
        for shopping through shops like Alibaba. SIA is looking at that market 
        and how best to support express companies. 
  : 
          Do you believe Singapore is still competitive on 
        price? 
  :   It is more expensive for 
        manufacturing here now, but as a strategic location it is still one of 
        the best for hubbing and warehousing. There has been a move up-market 
        by manufacturers due to higher costs. Some shippers are also using ocean, 
        rail, and trucking more. So there has been a modal shift and a shift towards 
        smaller products, which means less volume. The use of rail to Europe is 
        also not positive for air cargo. 
  : 
          What does this mean for air cargo agents and Changi? 
  :   Singapore will continue 
        to diversify and improve infrastructure. But the government is investing 
        in rail and the port to improve connectivity. This is bad for air but 
        forwarders will have to adapt and the Government is encouraging this. 
        They want forwarders and agents to do more than just air freight and have 
        promised to support whatever initiatives are required, such as training, 
        to grow the knowledge base. 
  : 
          How have the incentives provided by CAG for freight, 
        such as landing fees and rental rebates, helped the freight sector over 
        the last year? 
  :   I think that has contributed. 
        CAG is very fair and they are also helping with funding on rentals and 
        incentives for volume growth to forwarders. The Civil Aviation Authority 
        of Singapore supports E-Freight funding. They are also working to enhance 
        the industry and the best way, of course, is to support the forwarders 
        and airlines. This is one of their strengths; they are very supportive. 
        Competition is growing from other hubs, but Changi will continue as a 
        very important airport hub. SkyKing
 |