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   Vol. 19 No. 36
Thursday April 30, 2020
Pumping Traffic for April 30, 2020

Pumping Traffic

Gary KellySouthwest reported disastrous numbers this week losing $95 million in Q1 while saying May numbers do not look much better. “A crisis unprecedented in our history,” said CEO Gary Kelly . . . Word up and down the line is that COVID-19 will result in carriers becoming smaller, as airline management is currently creating scenarios that include voluntary early retirement; leaves of absence; cuts in pay and benefits in an effort to mitigate furloughs. “Good luck” is the expected first response from the pilot’s union, which traditionally insists on “full pay to the last day.” . . . In America the U.S. Government has provided funding that will carry the ball for its flags until September . . . What emerges after that is: best case scenario—people return to flying, worst-case scenario—might include airlines invoking the Force Majeure “Act of God” clause in negotiations . . . In America where a 75% load factor is needed for flights to break even, right now everybody is taking a beating in a system that just a few months ago looked like it had a license to print its own money . . . Now as May 2020 begins, almost overnight with merciless speed and taking no prisoners, the COVID-19 Pandemic has created a defacto nationalized air transport system in America.

Tornado Alley
. . . Elsewhere, as numbers underscore that 64% of the world’s airline fleet remain grounded, adding up to 17,000 jets idled by the coronavirus . . . Reportedly Avianca Colombia is on the verge of bankruptcy . . . In the Middle East, Emirates Airline reportedly has grounding of aircraft extended until July 1, 2020 . . . Air New Zealand’s plan to launch the world’s longest flight between New Zealand to London in a 25-hour jump via its B787s is back in the drawer until at least mid-2021 . . . American Airlines took delivery of a brand new B787 and immediately moth-balled the aircraft to Tulsa, Oklahoma where it sits today parked in Tornado Alley . . . Meantime Boeing is cutting aircraft production of its B787 from 14 to about 7 aircraft a month. There have been 1,500 B787s ordered and about 1,000 delivered. B737 Max production is supposed to resume in May, awaiting final FAA certification . . . If you wonder why anybody would want to accept, and then park an aircraft, that reasoning has to do with fines and charge backs an airline must endure for cancelling orders. So, during a time when the last thing any airline needs right now is another airplane, economically it is “cheaper to keep her.” . . . Boeing laying off 10% of its workforce as Q1 figures were released this week is no surprise.The surprise is the company laying off blame on COVID-19. “Boeing’s revenues for Commercial Aircraft, declining from US$11,822bn to US$6,205bn year-on-year and featuring US$2bn in operating losses, could be foreseen from the recent succession of cancellations that stroke Boeing’s backlog, especially the B737,” Nicolas Jouan, Aerospace and Defense Analyst at GlobalData said. Boeing has a bright spot, as the B777X is flight testing, moving closer to delivery of the first of its 309 orders to Lufthansa in 2021. But this is subject to change as Lufthansa, like every airline is currently in a challenging financial situation. The B777X orderbook doesn’t get any better, as Emirates Airline, next in line to get the new aircraft has grounded all of its A380s and as mentioned here has delayed bringing any aircraft back into service until July 1 . . .



If You Missed Any Of The Previous 3 Issues Of FlyingTypers
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Vol. 19 No. 33
United Cargo over the Moon
Letter to the Editor
Chuckles for April 21, 2020
Remembering James Hartigan, Sr.

Vol. 19 No. 34
What Have They Done To The Rain
Virgin Reopens China Service
Virus Trucking Needs Coordination

Vol. 19 No. 36
Virgin Cargo has a Pizzazz
Rationalizing Nationalizing Airlines
Italy and India in Virus Pandemic
Chuckles for April 27, 2020

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